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  WC Qualifiers South America - Qualifying Group       Ecuador v Paraguay         2nd Sep 2021 22:00  

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  Probability

1X2 :    
59% 25% 16%
 
U/O 2.5 :    
54% 46%

  BetDevil Analysis

Ecuador have a home record of 5-2-3 (W-D-L) for their 10 home games in their last 20 matches, 17 points from a possible 30. That's a home points average of 1.70 compared to 1.25 for all games in their last 20 matches. Ecuador's recent points average is 0.50, 3 points from 6 games 0-3-3 (W-D-L)
Ecuador's last 10 league games record reads WWWLLLDDDL while their last 10 home league games read LDWWLWWWLD.


Paraguay have an away record of 4-7-5 (W-D-L) for their 16 away games in their last 20 matches, 19 points from a possible 48. That's an away points average of 1.19 compared to 1.20 for all games in their last 20 matches. Paraguay's recent points average is 1.17, 7 points from 6 games;
Paraguay's last 10 league games record reads WDDDLWLWLD while their last 10 away league games read DWDWDDLWLD.


Comparing Ecuador's home games versus Paraguay's away games (26 in total), there have been 38% Home Wins, 35% Draws and 27% Away Wins (10-9-7). A similar comparison for all Ecuador's games versus all Paraguay's games (40 in total) produces the following: 32% Home Wins, 32% Draws and 35% Away Wins (13-13-14).


Form : WWDLWWDDDD - Last game reads right to left.


  League Goal Analysis

Ecuador have a recent goal tally of 6-11(6 games), season total of 31-34 from 17 games. Paraguay have a recent goal tally of 8-8(6 games), season total of 21-21 from 5 games.


The number of goals average for the most recent games involving both these teams is 2.75(33 goals in 12 games), the season average being 2.67 (107 goals in 40 games).


  Ratings Analysis

Both teams, Ecuador (1236) and Paraguay (1264) are well matched in RateForm terms. Paraguay (385) have proved to be stronger than Ecuador (177) in Recent Form terms. No major differences in League Form, Ecuador (448) and Paraguay (489). Paraguay (874) are slightly ahead of Ecuador (625) by Combo Form.


Paraguay are ahead of Ecuador in all rating categories, indicating an Away Win or Draw. The lesser the ratings values the greater the possibility of an Away Win.


Match Ratings : RateForm ((-29)) | Recent Form (-207) | League Form (-41) | League Form (-248)

Ecuador's Team Ratings : RateForm (1236) | Recent Form (177) | League Form (448) | Combo Form (625)
Paraguay's Team Ratings : RateForm (1264) | Recent Form (385) | League Form (489) | Combo Form (874))

Average Team Ratings : RateForm (1000) | Recent Form (400) | League Form (400)
RateForm is based on Professor Elo's Chess Player Ratings. Recent Form is calculated using team's last 6 matches. League Form is calculated using team's matches in their last 20 matches. Combo Form is the combination of Recent Form and League Form. The home team is awarded 100 points for home advantage in Match RateForm.


  Sequences & Streaks Analysis

League Matches
Ecuador have not won in their last 7 games.
No major Sequences or Streaks to report for Paraguay.




  Trend Graphs
Rateform Graph : Ecuador (1236) v Paraguay (1264)

  Recent Form Graph : Ecuador (177) v Paraguay (385)

LeagueForm Graph : Ecuador (448) v Paraguay (489)

  Recent Goal Difference Average Graph : Ecuador v Paraguay


  Recent Form
  Recent Encounters
Ecuador (1236)
4 Jul 21 a Argentina(3220) 3 - 0
L
27 Jun 21 a Brazil(4445) 1 - 1
D
23 Jun 21 h Peru (1317) 2 - 2
D
20 Jun 21 a Venezuela(1189) 2 - 2
D
14 Jun 21 a Colombia(2364) 1 - 0
L
8 Jun 21 h Peru (1241) 1 - 2
L
5 Jun 21 a Brazil(4287) 2 - 0
L
29 Mar 21 h Bolivia (545) 2 - 1
W
17 Nov 20 h Colombia (2378) 6 - 1
W
12 Nov 20 a Bolivia(560) 2 - 3
W
Rateform value in ( ).
Paraguay (1264)
2 Jul 21 a Peru (1354) 3 - 3
D
29 Jun 21 a Uruguay (2123) 1 - 0
L
25 Jun 21 a Chile (1837) 0 - 2
W
22 Jun 21 a Argentina (3179) 1 - 0
L
15 Jun 21 h Bolivia(578) 3 - 1
W
9 Jun 21 h Brazil(4313) 0 - 2
L
3 Jun 21 a Uruguay (2185) 0 - 0
D
17 Nov 20 h Bolivia(544) 2 - 2
D
13 Nov 20 a Argentina (3183) 1 - 1
D
14 Oct 20 a Venezuela (1232) 0 - 1
W
 
 
23 Mar 17 Paraguay v Ecuador 2 - 1
L
24 Mar 16 Ecuador v Paraguay 2 - 2
D
26 Mar 13 Ecuador v Paraguay 4 - 1
W
12 Nov 11 Paraguay v Ecuador 2 - 1
L
3 Jul 11 Paraguay v Ecuador 0 - 0
D
1 Apr 09 Ecuador v Paraguay 1 - 1
D
17 Nov 07 Paraguay v Ecuador 5 - 1
L
4 May 05 Ecuador v Paraguay 1 - 0
W
27 Mar 05 Ecuador v Paraguay 5 - 2
W
15 Nov 03 Paraguay v Ecuador 2 - 1
L
 
Last 10 Stats
WinDrawLoss - All : 3-3-4 SF : 3-2-0
Clean Sheets : 1 G F-A : 17-17|3.4
Goals Scored : 9

Form
All-1,1,1,-1,0,0,-1,1,0,-1

Goal Analysis
Goals1:2,5:2,1:0,1:5,1:1,0:0,1:2,4:1,2:2,1:2
Both Scored
1,1,0,1,1,0,1,1,1,1
U/O 1.5
    (2-8)

3,7,1,6,2,0,3,5,4,3
U/O 2.5
    (3-7)

3,7,1,6,2,0,3,5,4,3
U/O 3.5
    (6-4)

3,7,1,6,2,0,3,5,4,3


Last 10 Stats - Ecuador
WDL : 3-3-4 L6 F-A : 6-11|2.8
Clean Sheets : 0 L10 F-A : 17-17|3.4
Not Scored : 3 L20 F-A : 31-34|3.2

Form
All1,1,1,-1,-1,-1,0,0,0,-1
Home
-1,0,1,1,-1,1,1,1,-1,0
Away
-1,1,-1,-1,1,-1,-1,0,0,-1

Goal Analysis
Goals3:2,6:1,2:1,0:2,1:2,0:1,2:2,2:2,1:1,0:3
Both Scored
1,1,1,0,1,0,1,1,1,0
U/O 1.5
    (1-9)

5,7,3,2,3,1,4,4,2,3
U/O 2.5
    (3-7)

5,7,3,2,3,1,4,4,2,3
U/O 3.5
    (6-4)

5,7,3,2,3,1,4,4,2,3
Last 10 Stats - Paraguay
WDL : 3-4-3 L6 F-A : 8-8|2.7
Clean Sheets : 3 L10 F-A : 12-11|2.3
Not Scored : 4 L20 F-A : 21-21|2.1

Form
All1,0,0,0,-1,1,-1,1,-1,0
Home
1,-1,-1,0,1,0,0,0,-1,1
Away
0,1,0,1,0,0,-1,1,-1,0

Goal Analysis
Goals1:0,1:1,2:2,0:0,0:2,3:1,0:1,2:0,0:1,3:3
Both Scored
0,1,1,0,0,1,0,0,0,1
U/O 1.5
    (4-6)

1,2,4,0,2,4,1,2,1,6
U/O 2.5
    (7-3)

1,2,4,0,2,4,1,2,1,6
U/O 3.5
    (7-3)

1,2,4,0,2,4,1,2,1,6

  Sequences - Streaks
Ecuador Paraguay
0 (0)SeqW0 (0)
0 (0)SeqD1 (1)
1 (1)SeqL0 (0)
7 (7)SinceW2 (2)
1 (1)SinceD0 (0)
0 (0)SinceL1 (1)



1X2 UO
 
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Ecuador 1.63 | - - - - - - - - 1.57 - | 1.63 -
Draw 3.85 | - - - - - - - - 3.50 - | 3.85 -
Paraguay 6.13 | - - - - - - - - 5.50 - | 6.13 -
Under 2.5 1.78 | - - - - - - - - 1.73 - | 1.78 -
Over 2.5 2.10 | - - - - - - - - 2.00 - | 2.10 -
Both Score Yes 2.06 | - - - - - - - - 2.00 - | 2.06 -
Both Score No 1.79 | - - - - - - - - 1.75 - | 1.79 -

    Ecuador   Draw   Paraguay   Under 2.5   Over 2.5
  Bet   Lay   Bet   Lay   Bet   Lay   Bet   Lay   Bet   Lay
Click To Open Betdaq.com   -
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  -
-
  -
-
  -
-
  -
-
  -
-
  -
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Click To Open Betfair.com   1.66
46
  1.67
100
  4.00
100
  4.10
23
  6.40
100
  6.80
81
  1.82
86
  2.22
82
  1.82
86
  2.22
82

Odds Type Odds Home Stake Draw Stake Outcome (90 Mins)
1/2:0 (1X) 1.14 70% 30% Ecuador Win or Draw returns 1.14 stake
1/4:0 1.17 72% 28% Ecuador Win returns 1.17 stake, draw 1.09 stake.
CD 100% 1.20 74% 26% Ecuador Win returns 1.20 stake, draw returns 100% stake.
CD 75% 1.31 81% 19% Ecuador Win returns 1.31 stake, draw returns 75% stake.
CD 50% 1.42 87% 13% Ecuador Win returns 1.42 stake, draw returns 50% stake.

Odds Type Odds Home Stake Draw Stake Outcome (90 Mins)
0:1/2 (2X) 2.36 39% 61% Paraguay Win or Draw returns 2.36 stake.
0:1/4 2.97 49% 52% Paraguay Win returns 2.97 stake, draw 1.99 stake.
CD 100% 4.54 74% 26% Paraguay Win returns 4.54 stake, draw returns 100% stake.
CD 75% 4.94 81% 19% Paraguay Win returns 4.94 stake, draw returns 75% stake.
CD 50% 5.33 87% 13% Paraguay Win returns 5.33 stake, draw returns 50% stake.

Odds Type Odds Home Stake Draw Stake Outcome (90 Mins)
(12) 1.29 21% 79% Paraguay or Ecuador win returns 1.29 stake.
Asian Handicaps - 1/2:0 1/4:0 0:1/2 0:1/4     Covered Draws - CD 50% CD 75%     Double Chance - 1X X2 12



 
  2022 WCQ SA
P W D L F A Pts GD
1 Brazil 13 11 2 0 27 4 35 +23
2 Argentina 13 8 5 0 20 6 29 +14
3 Ecuador 14 7 2 5 23 13 23 +10
4 Peru 14 5 2 7 15 20 17 -5
5 Chile 14 4 4 6 15 16 16 -1
6 Colombia 13 3 7 3 16 17 16 -1
7 Uruguay 13 4 3 6 14 21 15 -7
8 Bolivia 14 4 3 7 20 28 15 -8
9 Paraguay 14 2 7 5 9 18 13 -9
10 Venezuela 14 2 1 11 9 25 7 -16
 
  2021 CopAm
P W D L F A Pts GD
1 Argentina 4 3 1 0 7 2 10 +5
2 Uruguay 4 2 1 1 4 2 7 +2
3 Paraguay 4 2 0 2 5 3 6 +2
4 Chile 4 1 2 1 3 4 5 -1
5 Bolivia 4 0 0 4 2 10 0 -8