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  WC Qualifiers South America - Qualifying Group       Colombia v Ecuador         14th Oct 2021 22:00  

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  Probability

1X2 :    
57% 26% 17%
 
U/O 2.5 :    
57% 43%

  BetDevil Analysis

Colombia have a home record of 4-5-2 (W-D-L) for their 11 home games in their last 20 matches, 17 points from a possible 33. That's a home points average of 1.55 compared to 1.35 for all games in their last 20 matches. Colombia's recent points average is 1.00, 6 points from 6 games 1-3-2 (W-D-L)
Colombia's last 10 league games record reads LWDWDLLDDW while their last 10 home league games read DDWWLDWDLW.


Ecuador have an away record of 2-2-6 (W-D-L) for their 10 away games in their last 20 matches, 8 points from a possible 30. That's an away points average of 0.80 compared to 1.25 for all games in their last 20 matches. Ecuador's recent points average is 0.50, 3 points from 6 games;
Ecuador's last 10 league games record reads WWWLLLDDDL while their last 10 away league games read LWLLWLLDDL.


Comparing Colombia's home games versus Ecuador's away games (21 in total), there have been 48% Home Wins, 33% Draws and 19% Away Wins (10-7-4). A similar comparison for all Colombia's games versus all Ecuador's games (40 in total) produces the following: 38% Home Wins, 32% Draws and 30% Away Wins (15-13-12).


Form : WWDLWWDDDD - Last game reads right to left.


  League Goal Analysis

Colombia have a recent goal tally of 6-7(6 games), season total of 22-25 from 17 games. Ecuador have a recent goal tally of 6-11(6 games), season total of 31-34 from 17 games.


The number of goals average for the most recent games involving both these teams is 2.50(30 goals in 12 games), the season average being 2.80 (112 goals in 40 games).


  Ratings Analysis

Home Team Colombia (2312) look way too strong for Ecuador (1236) in RateForm terms. Colombia (385) have proved to be stronger than Ecuador (177) in Recent Form terms. No major differences in League Form, Colombia (498) and Ecuador (448). Colombia (883) are slightly ahead of Ecuador (625) by Combo Form.


Colombia are ahead of Ecuador in all rating categories, indicating a Home Win. The greater the ratings values the greater the possibility.


Match Ratings : RateForm ((1076)) | Recent Form (207) | League Form (49) | League Form (256)

Colombia's Team Ratings : RateForm (2312) | Recent Form (385) | League Form (498) | Combo Form (883)
Ecuador's Team Ratings : RateForm (1236) | Recent Form (177) | League Form (448) | Combo Form (625))

Average Team Ratings : RateForm (1000) | Recent Form (400) | League Form (400)
RateForm is based on Professor Elo's Chess Player Ratings. Recent Form is calculated using team's last 6 matches. League Form is calculated using team's matches in their last 20 matches. Combo Form is the combination of Recent Form and League Form. The home team is awarded 100 points for home advantage in Match RateForm.


  Sequences & Streaks Analysis

League Matches
Colombia are undefeated in their last 3 games.
Ecuador have not won in their last 7 games. Ecuador have not won in their last 5 away games.




  Trend Graphs
Rateform Graph : Colombia (2312) v Ecuador (1236)

  Recent Form Graph : Colombia (385) v Ecuador (177)

LeagueForm Graph : Colombia (498) v Ecuador (448)

  Recent Goal Difference Average Graph : Colombia v Ecuador


  Recent Form
  Recent Encounters
Colombia (2312)
10 Oct 21 h Brazil (4358) 0 - 0
D
8 Oct 21 a Uruguay(2141) 0 - 0
D
10 Sep 21 h Chile (1750) 3 - 1
W
5 Sep 21 a Paraguay(1264) 1 - 1
D
2 Sep 21 a Bolivia(525) 1 - 1
D
10 Jul 21 h Peru (1321) 3 - 2
W
7 Jul 21 a Argentina(3245) 1 - 1
D
3 Jul 21 a Uruguay(2148) 0 - 0
D
24 Jun 21 a Brazil(4399) 2 - 1
L
21 Jun 21 h Peru (1251) 1 - 2
L
Rateform value in ( ).
Ecuador (1236)
10 Oct 21 a Venezuela (1151) 2 - 1
L
8 Oct 21 h Bolivia(525) 3 - 0
W
9 Sep 21 a Uruguay (2141) 1 - 0
L
5 Sep 21 h Chile(1750) 0 - 0
D
2 Sep 21 h Paraguay(1264) 2 - 0
W
4 Jul 21 a Argentina (3220) 3 - 0
L
27 Jun 21 a Brazil (4445) 1 - 1
D
23 Jun 21 h Peru(1317) 2 - 2
D
20 Jun 21 a Venezuela (1189) 2 - 2
D
14 Jun 21 a Colombia (2364) 1 - 0
L
 
 
14 Jun 21 Colombia v Ecuador 1 - 0
W
17 Nov 20 Ecuador v Colombia 6 - 1
L
20 Nov 19 Ecuador v Colombia 0 - 1
W
28 Mar 17 Ecuador v Colombia 0 - 2
W
29 Mar 16 Colombia v Ecuador 3 - 1
W
7 Sep 13 Colombia v Ecuador 1 - 0
W
10 Jun 12 Ecuador v Colombia 1 - 0
L
26 Mar 11 Colombia v Ecuador 2 - 0
W
9 Oct 10 Ecuador v Colombia 0 - 1
W
9 Oct 10 Colombia v Ecuador 1 - 0
W
 
Last 10 Stats
WinDrawLoss - All : 8-0-2 SF : 5-0-0
Clean Sheets : 0 G F-A : 13-8|2.1
Goals Scored : 10

Form
All1,1,1,-1,1,1,1,1,-1,1

Goal Analysis
Goals1:0,1:0,2:0,0:1,1:0,3:1,2:0,1:0,1:6,1:0
Both Scored
0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,1,0
U/O 1.5
    (6-4)

1,1,2,1,1,4,2,1,7,1
U/O 2.5
    (8-2)

1,1,2,1,1,4,2,1,7,1
U/O 3.5
    (8-2)

1,1,2,1,1,4,2,1,7,1


Last 10 Stats - Colombia
WDL : 2-6-2 L6 F-A : 6-7|2.2
Clean Sheets : 3 L10 F-A : 11-10|2.1
Not Scored : 3 L20 F-A : 22-25|2.4

Form
All-1,1,0,1,0,-1,-1,0,0,1
Home
0,0,1,1,-1,0,1,0,-1,1
Away
1,0,-1,1,0,-1,1,-1,0,0

Goal Analysis
Goals1:2,1:2,0:0,1:1,3:2,1:1,1:1,3:1,0:0,0:0
Both Scored
1,1,0,1,1,1,1,1,0,0
U/O 1.5
    (3-7)

3,3,0,2,5,2,2,4,0,0
U/O 2.5
    (6-4)

3,3,0,2,5,2,2,4,0,0
U/O 3.5
    (8-2)

3,3,0,2,5,2,2,4,0,0
Last 10 Stats - Ecuador
WDL : 2-4-4 L6 F-A : 6-11|2.8
Clean Sheets : 3 L10 F-A : 11-12|2.3
Not Scored : 4 L20 F-A : 31-34|3.2

Form
All1,1,1,-1,-1,-1,0,0,0,-1
Home
-1,0,1,1,-1,1,1,1,-1,0
Away
-1,1,-1,-1,1,-1,-1,0,0,-1

Goal Analysis
Goals0:1,2:2,2:2,1:1,0:3,2:0,0:0,0:1,3:0,1:2
Both Scored
0,1,1,1,0,0,0,0,0,1
U/O 1.5
    (3-7)

1,4,4,2,3,2,0,1,3,3
U/O 2.5
    (5-5)

1,4,4,2,3,2,0,1,3,3
U/O 3.5
    (8-2)

1,4,4,2,3,2,0,1,3,3

  Sequences - Streaks
Colombia Ecuador
1 (1)SeqW0 (0)
0 (0)SeqD0 (0)
0 (0)SeqL1 (1)
0 (0)SinceW7 (7)
1 (1)SinceD1 (1)
3 (3)SinceL0 (0)



1X2 UO
 
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Colombia 1.69 | - - - - - - - - 1.67 - | 1.69 -
Draw 3.71 | - - - - - - - - 3.50 - | 3.71 -
Ecuador 5.75 | - - - - - - - - 5.50 - | 5.75 -
Under 2.5 1.68 | - - - - - - - - 1.67 - | 1.68 -
Over 2.5 2.23 | - - - - - - - - 2.15 - | 2.23 -
Both Score Yes 2.16 | - - - - - - - - 2.10 - | 2.16 -
Both Score No 1.74 | - - - - - - - - 1.70 - | 1.74 -

    Colombia   Draw   Ecuador   Under 2.5   Over 2.5
  Bet   Lay   Bet   Lay   Bet   Lay   Bet   Lay   Bet   Lay
Click To Open Betdaq.com   -
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  -
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  -
-
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  -
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Click To Open Betfair.com   1.73
100
  1.75
100
  3.85
31
  3.90
44
  6.00
100
  6.20
33
  1.72
20
  2.40
14
  1.72
20
  2.40
14

Odds Type Odds Home Stake Draw Stake Outcome (90 Mins)
1/2:0 (1X) 1.16 69% 31% Colombia Win or Draw returns 1.16 stake
1/4:0 1.20 71% 30% Colombia Win returns 1.20 stake, draw 1.10 stake.
CD 100% 1.24 73% 27% Colombia Win returns 1.24 stake, draw returns 100% stake.
CD 75% 1.35 80% 20% Colombia Win returns 1.35 stake, draw returns 75% stake.
CD 50% 1.47 87% 13% Colombia Win returns 1.47 stake, draw returns 50% stake.

Odds Type Odds Home Stake Draw Stake Outcome (90 Mins)
0:1/2 (2X) 2.25 39% 61% Ecuador Win or Draw returns 2.25 stake.
0:1/4 2.80 49% 51% Ecuador Win returns 2.80 stake, draw 1.90 stake.
CD 100% 4.20 73% 27% Ecuador Win returns 4.20 stake, draw returns 100% stake.
CD 75% 4.59 80% 20% Ecuador Win returns 4.59 stake, draw returns 75% stake.
CD 50% 4.97 87% 13% Ecuador Win returns 4.97 stake, draw returns 50% stake.

Odds Type Odds Home Stake Draw Stake Outcome (90 Mins)
(12) 1.31 23% 77% Ecuador or Colombia win returns 1.31 stake.
Asian Handicaps - 1/2:0 1/4:0 0:1/2 0:1/4     Covered Draws - CD 50% CD 75%     Double Chance - 1X X2 12



 
  2022 CopAm
P W D L F A Pts GD
1 Colombia 1 1 0 0 3 2 3 +1
2 Argentina 1 1 0 0 1 0 3 +1
3 Peru 1 0 0 1 2 3 0 -1
4 Brazil 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1
 
  2022 WCQ SA
P W D L F A Pts GD
1 Brazil 11 10 1 0 26 4 31 +22
2 Argentina 11 7 4 0 19 6 25 +13
3 Ecuador 12 5 2 5 20 13 17 +7
4 Uruguay 11 4 3 4 14 17 15 -3
5 Colombia 11 3 6 2 16 16 15 0
6 Chile 12 3 4 5 14 14 13 0
7 Paraguay 12 2 6 4 9 17 12 -8
8 Bolivia 12 3 3 6 17 25 12 -8
9 Peru 12 3 2 7 10 19 11 -9
10 Venezuela 12 2 1 9 8 22 7 -14