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  Euro Finals - Group A       Turkey v Italy         11th Jun 2021 20:00  

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  Probability

1X2 :    
10% 24% 66%
 
U/O 2.5 :    
57% 43%

  BetDevil Analysis

Turkey have a home record of 6-5-1 (W-D-L) for their 12 home games in their last 20 matches, 23 points from a possible 36. That's a home points average of 1.92 compared to 1.80 for all games in their last 20 matches. Turkey's recent points average is 2.33, 14 points from 6 games 4-2-0 (W-D-L)
Turkey's last 10 league games record reads DDWLWWDWDW while their last 10 home league games read DLDDWWDWDW.


Italy have an away record of 8-1-0 (W-D-L) for their 9 away games in their last 20 matches, 25 points from a possible 27. That's an away points average of 2.78 compared to 2.70 for all games in their last 20 matches. Italy's recent points average is 3.00, 18 points from 6 games;
Italy's last 10 league games record reads DDWWWWWWWW while their last 10 away league games read WWWWWWDWWW.


Comparing Turkey's home games versus Italy's away games (21 in total), there have been 29% Home Wins, 29% Draws and 43% Away Wins (6-6-9). A similar comparison for all Turkey's games versus all Italy's games (40 in total) produces the following: 22% Home Wins, 30% Draws and 48% Away Wins (9-12-19).


Form : WWDLWWDDDD - Last game reads right to left.


  League Goal Analysis

Turkey have a recent goal tally of 14-6(6 games), season total of 35-21 from 23 games. Italy have a recent goal tally of 19-0(6 games), season total of 60-6 from 29 games.


The number of goals average for the most recent games involving both these teams is 3.25(39 goals in 12 games), the season average being 3.05 (122 goals in 40 games).


  Ratings Analysis

Away Team Italy (2392) look far too strong for Turkey (1603) in RateForm terms. Italy (1000) have proved to be stronger than Turkey (762) in Recent Form terms. Italy (971) are ahead of Turkey (655) by League Form. Italy (1971) are ahead of Turkey (1417) by Combo Form.


Italy are ahead of Turkey in all rating categories, indicating an Away Win or Draw. The lesser the ratings values the greater the possibility of an Away Win.


Match Ratings : RateForm ((-789)) | Recent Form (-237) | League Form (-315) | League Form (-552)

Turkey's Team Ratings : RateForm (1603) | Recent Form (762) | League Form (655) | Combo Form (1417)
Italy's Team Ratings : RateForm (2392) | Recent Form (1000) | League Form (971) | Combo Form (1971))

Average Team Ratings : RateForm (1000) | Recent Form (400) | League Form (400)
RateForm is based on Professor Elo's Chess Player Ratings. Recent Form is calculated using team's last 6 matches. League Form is calculated using team's matches in their last 20 matches. Combo Form is the combination of Recent Form and League Form. The home team is awarded 100 points for home advantage in Match RateForm.


  Sequences & Streaks Analysis

League Matches
Turkey are undefeated in their last 6 games. Turkey are undefeated in their last 8 home games.
Italy are on a 8 game winning streak. Italy are on a 3 game away winning streak. Italy have gone 8 games without a draw. Italy are undefeated in their last 27 games. Italy have gone 3 away games without a draw. Italy are undefeated in their last 11 away games.




  Trend Graphs
Rateform Graph : Turkey (1603) v Italy (2392)

  Recent Form Graph : Turkey (762) v Italy (1000)

LeagueForm Graph : Turkey (655) v Italy (971)

  Recent Goal Difference Average Graph : Turkey v Italy


  Recent Form
  Recent Encounters
Turkey (1603)
3 Jun 21 h Moldova (185) 2 - 0
W
31 May 21 h Guinea (1104) 0 - 0
D
27 May 21 h Azerbaijan (339) 2 - 1
W
30 Mar 21 h Latvia (276) 3 - 3
D
27 Mar 21 a Norway(1099) 0 - 3
W
24 Mar 21 h Holland (2557) 4 - 2
W
18 Nov 20 a Hungary(842) 2 - 0
L
15 Nov 20 h Russia (1500) 3 - 2
W
11 Nov 20 h Croatia (2153) 3 - 3
D
14 Oct 20 h Serbia (1217) 2 - 2
D
Rateform value in ( ).
Italy (2392)
4 Jun 21 h Czech Rep(1375) 4 - 0
W
28 May 21 h San Marino(35) 7 - 0
W
31 Mar 21 a Lithuania (309) 0 - 2
W
28 Mar 21 a Bulgaria (756) 0 - 2
W
25 Mar 21 h N. Ireland(673) 2 - 0
W
18 Nov 20 a Bosnia & Herz (937) 0 - 2
W
15 Nov 20 h Poland(1510) 2 - 0
W
11 Nov 20 h Estonia(469) 4 - 0
W
14 Oct 20 h Holland(2487) 1 - 1
D
11 Oct 20 a Poland (1453) 0 - 0
D
 
 
15 Nov 06 Italy v Turkey 1 - 1
D
20 Nov 02 Italy v Turkey 1 - 1
D
11 Jun 00 Turkey v Italy 1 - 2
L
21 Dec 94 Italy v Turkey 3 - 1
L
3 Mar 84 Turkey v Italy 1 - 2
L
23 Sep 78 Italy v Turkey 1 - 0
L
25 Feb 73 Turkey v Italy 0 - 1
L
13 Jan 73 Italy v Turkey 0 - 0
D
27 Mar 63 Turkey v Italy 0 - 1
L
2 Dec 62 Italy v Turkey 6 - 0
L
 
Last 10 Stats
WinDrawLoss - All : 0-3-7 SF : 0-0-4
Clean Sheets : 1 G F-A : 5-18|2.3
Goals Scored : 9

Form
All-1,-1,0,-1,-1,-1,-1,-1,0,0

Goal Analysis
Goals0:6,0:1,0:0,0:1,0:1,1:2,1:3,1:2,1:1,1:1
Both Scored
0,0,0,0,0,1,1,1,1,1
U/O 1.5
    (4-6)

6,1,0,1,1,3,4,3,2,2
U/O 2.5
    (6-4)

6,1,0,1,1,3,4,3,2,2
U/O 3.5
    (8-2)

6,1,0,1,1,3,4,3,2,2


Last 10 Stats - Turkey
WDL : 5-4-1 L6 F-A : 14-6|3.3
Clean Sheets : 3 L10 F-A : 22-15|3.7
Not Scored : 2 L20 F-A : 35-21|2.8

Form
All0,0,1,-1,1,1,0,1,0,1
Home
0,-1,0,0,1,1,0,1,0,1
Away
1,-1,1,0,1,0,0,0,-1,1

Goal Analysis
Goals2:2,3:3,3:2,0:2,4:2,3:0,3:3,2:1,0:0,2:0
Both Scored
1,1,1,0,1,0,1,1,0,0
U/O 1.5
    (1-9)

4,6,5,2,6,3,6,3,0,2
U/O 2.5
    (3-7)

4,6,5,2,6,3,6,3,0,2
U/O 3.5
    (5-5)

4,6,5,2,6,3,6,3,0,2
Last 10 Stats - Italy
WDL : 8-2-0 L6 F-A : 19-0|3.2
Clean Sheets : 9 L10 F-A : 26-1|2.7
Not Scored : 1 L20 F-A : 60-6|3.3

Form
All0,0,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Home
1,1,0,1,0,1,1,1,1,1
Away
1,1,1,1,1,1,0,1,1,1

Goal Analysis
Goals0:0,1:1,4:0,2:0,2:0,2:0,2:0,2:0,7:0,4:0
Both Scored
0,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
U/O 1.5
    (1-9)

0,2,4,2,2,2,2,2,7,4
U/O 2.5
    (7-3)

0,2,4,2,2,2,2,2,7,4
U/O 3.5
    (7-3)

0,2,4,2,2,2,2,2,7,4

  Sequences - Streaks
Turkey Italy
1 (1)SeqW8 (8)
0 (0)SeqD0 (0)
0 (0)SeqL0 (0)
0 (0)SinceW0 (0)
1 (1)SinceD8 (8)
6 (6)SinceL27 (27)



1X2 UO
 
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Turkey 8.98 | - - - - - - - - 7.50 - | 8.98 -
Draw 4.04 | - - - - - - - - 3.80 - | 4.04 -
Italy 1.50 | - - - - - - - - 1.50 - | 1.48 -
Under 2.5 1.67 | - - - - - - - - 1.67 - | 1.67 -
Over 2.5 2.31 | - - - - - - - - 2.15 - | 2.31 -
Both Score Yes 2.52 | - - - - - - - - 2.30 - | 2.52 -
Both Score No 1.58 | - - - - - - - - 1.57 - | 1.58 -

    Turkey   Draw   Italy   Under 2.5   Over 2.5
  Bet   Lay   Bet   Lay   Bet   Lay   Bet   Lay   Bet   Lay
Click To Open Betdaq.com   -
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  -
-
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Click To Open Betfair.com   9.40
100
  9.60
100
  4.20
100
  4.30
100
  1.51
100
  1.52
100
  1.71
100
  2.40
100
  1.71
100
  2.40
100

Odds Type Odds Home Stake Draw Stake Outcome (90 Mins)
1/2:0 (1X) 2.79 31% 69% Turkey Win or Draw returns 2.79 stake
1/4:0 3.74 42% 59% Turkey Win returns 3.74 stake, draw 2.37 stake.
CD 100% 6.76 75% 25% Turkey Win returns 6.76 stake, draw returns 100% stake.
CD 75% 7.31 81% 19% Turkey Win returns 7.31 stake, draw returns 75% stake.
CD 50% 7.87 88% 12% Turkey Win returns 7.87 stake, draw returns 50% stake.

Odds Type Odds Home Stake Draw Stake Outcome (90 Mins)
0:1/2 (2X) 1.09 73% 27% Italy Win or Draw returns 1.09 stake.
0:1/4 1.11 74% 26% Italy Win returns 1.11 stake, draw 1.06 stake.
CD 100% 1.13 75% 25% Italy Win returns 1.13 stake, draw returns 100% stake.
CD 75% 1.22 81% 19% Italy Win returns 1.22 stake, draw returns 75% stake.
CD 50% 1.31 88% 12% Italy Win returns 1.31 stake, draw returns 50% stake.

Odds Type Odds Home Stake Draw Stake Outcome (90 Mins)
(12) 1.29 86% 14% Italy or Turkey win returns 1.29 stake.
Asian Handicaps - 1/2:0 1/4:0 0:1/2 0:1/4     Covered Draws - CD 50% CD 75%     Double Chance - 1X X2 12



  2020 Euro GrA
P W D L F A Pts GD
1 Italy 3 3 0 0 7 0 9 +7
2 Switzerland 3 1 1 1 4 5 4 -1
3 Wales 3 1 1 1 3 2 4 +1
4 Turkey 3 0 0 3 1 8 0 -7
 
  2022 WCQ EGG
P W D L F A Pts GD
1 Holland 10 7 2 1 33 8 23 +25
2 Turkey 10 6 3 1 27 16 21 +11
3 Norway 10 5 3 2 15 8 18 +7
4 Montenegro 10 3 3 4 14 15 12 -1
5 Latvia 10 2 3 5 11 14 9 -3
6 Gibraltar 10 0 0 10 4 43 0 -39
 
  2022 WCQ EGC
P W D L F A Pts GD
1 Switzerland 8 5 3 0 15 2 18 +13
2 Italy 8 4 4 0 13 2 16 +11
3 N. Ireland 8 2 3 3 6 7 9 -1
4 Bulgaria 8 2 2 4 6 14 8 -8
5 Lithuania 8 1 0 7 4 19 3 -15