Probability

  BetDevil Analysis

Italy have a home record of 10-3-0 (W-D-L) for their 13 home games in their last 20 matches, 33 points from a possible 39. That's a home points average of 2.54 compared to 2.60 for all games in their last 20 matches. Italy's recent points average is 2.67, 16 points from 6 games 5-1-0 (W-D-L)
Italy's last 10 league games record reads WWWWWWWWWD while their last 10 home league games read DWWWWWWWWD.

England have an away record of 5-1-1 (W-D-L) for their 7 away games in their last 20 matches, 16 points from a possible 21. That's an away points average of 2.29 compared to 2.50 for all games in their last 20 matches. England's recent points average is 2.67, 16 points from 6 games;
England's last 10 league games record reads WWWWWDWWWW while their last 10 away league games read DLWWWDLWWW.

Comparing Italy's home games versus England's away games (20 in total), there have been 55% Home Wins, 20% Draws and 25% Away Wins (11-4-5). A similar comparison for all Italy's games versus all England's games (40 in total) produces the following: 45% Home Wins, 15% Draws and 40% Away Wins (18-6-16).

Form : WWDLWWDDDD - Last game reads right to left.

  League Goal Analysis

Italy have a recent goal tally of 12-3(6 games), season total of 55-6 from 33 games. England have a recent goal tally of 10-1(6 games), season total of 38-6 from 34 games.

The number of goals average for the most recent games involving both these teams is 2.17(26 goals in 12 games), the season average being 2.62 (105 goals in 40 games).

  Ratings Analysis

Away Team England (3002) have proved to be stronger than Italy (2589) in RateForm terms. Both teams, Italy (851) and England (911) are well matched in Recent Form terms. No major differences in League Form, Italy (921) and England (879). No major differences in Combo Form, Italy (1772) and England (1790).

Match Ratings : RateForm ((-412)) | Recent Form (-59) | League Form (41) | League Form (-18)

Italy's Team Ratings : RateForm (2589) | Recent Form (851) | League Form (921) | Combo Form (1772)
England's Team Ratings : RateForm (3002) | Recent Form (911) | League Form (879) | Combo Form (1790))

Average Team Ratings : RateForm (1000) | Recent Form (400) | League Form (400)
RateForm is based on Professor Elo's Chess Player Ratings. Recent Form is calculated using team's last 6 matches. League Form is calculated using team's matches in their last 20 matches. Combo Form is the combination of Recent Form and League Form. The home team is awarded 100 points for home advantage in Match RateForm.

  Sequences & Streaks Analysis

League Matches
Italy are undefeated in their last 33 games. Italy are undefeated in their last 32 home games.
England are on a 4 game winning streak. England are on a 3 game away winning streak. England have gone 4 games without a draw. England are undefeated in their last 12 games. England have gone 4 away games without a draw. England are undefeated in their last 3 away games.